Constructing signal
Research rules frozen · Paper execution active

Trading intelligence from real trader behaviour.

Mosaic turns public trader behaviour into strategy-grade signals, then applies portfolio and account controls before execution.

Explore the research
Non-custodial executionRisk limits before execution
Signal assemblyPaper mode
InputPublic trader activity
01Persistence
02Risk quality
03Liquidity
04Independence
OutputQualified portfolio signal
SIGNAL ASSEMBLYINPUTPublic trader activity01Persistence02Risk03Liquidity04IndependenceOUTPUTQualified portfolio signalRisk controls apply before execution

Current build state

Mosaic's execution engine is running.

  1. 01
    Archive data pipelineLive
  2. 02
    Signal engineLive
  3. 03
    Paper executionHyperliquid + Lighter
  4. 04
    Small live testingNext
  5. 05
    Mosaic PortfolioIn development

The consistency problem

A winner this month may not be a signal next month.

Leaderboards show the result. They do not show whether the behaviour persists, how they executed it, or what risk it took to produce it.

External research · Chase (@chase_mew_) · 20 Jul 2026View original analysis ↗

935,000 Hyperliquid wallets analysed over one year

19%of one month's top-decile wallets remained in the top decile the next month
45.5%of those top-decile wallets were profitable the next month

Trader behaviour can contain value. Recent rank alone is still a weak selection rule.

01Discovery

Leaderboards, social feeds and alpha groups show PnL without persistence.

02Evaluation

Wallet explorers still require manual interpretation of risk and repeatability.

03Execution

Sizing, funding, liquidity and liquidation checks happen separately.

04Monitoring

Positions and signal changes are tracked manually across multiple tools.

05Risk

Separate tools make drawdown, costs, correlation and signal decay easy to miss.

Illustrative trader profile

One headline. Four very different readings.

The same account looks different when leverage, concentration and execution context become visible.

Current viewLeaderboard view
Recent PnL
+184%
Leaderboard rank
#4
Context shown
Minimal

A ranking tells you who won. It does not explain whether the behaviour is repeatable.

How Mosaic works

From observed behaviour to controlled exposure.

Each stage removes a different source of noise. The result is a qualified portfolio signal with controls applied before execution.

01

Observe

Read public wallet and market behaviour, including entries, exits, leverage, holding patterns, funding and drawdowns.

02

Qualify

Score repeatability, risk persistence, execution quality, liquidity usage and signal independence.

03

Aggregate

Combine qualified behaviour, reduce single-trader dependency and net conflicting exposure.

04

Control

Apply position, leverage, liquidity, drawdown and capacity rules before exposure increases.

05

Execute

Route orders through connected wallets, Mosaic Terminal or vaults on supported venues.

Risk before execution

A signal is an input. It is not an instruction.

A Mosaic strategy signal is adapted to the connected account before an order is placed.

  • You retain custody
  • Liquidity-aware participation
  • Position and leverage limits
  • Clear pause, reduce and exit controls
Illustrative account orderETH long
Signal target2.3% of model balance
Signal actionIncrease
Existing ETH exposure1.2%
Leverage cap4X · Pass
Liquidity guardrailPass
Final account target3.5% net

Paper execution

Paper execution is active.

Live signals and paper execution are running under frozen research rules on Hyperliquid and Lighter. Results will be published after a sufficient observation window.

Start dateJuly 27, 2026
Signals observedPending publication
Normalized PnL variancePending publication
Drawdown observedPending publication

Historical research

Historical results after fees and funding.

Representative configuration: June to December 2025 discovery, January to June 2026 out-of-sample validation, 5X leverage, 4.5 bps Hyperliquid taker fees and funding included.

Net return99.68%
Max drawdown8.04%
Daily Sharpe4.81
Profit factor1.30
Closed trades6,169
BTC correlation−0.145
Cumulative net returnJan–Jun 2026
3-day drawdownJan–Jun 2026
Monthly net returnJan–Jun 2026

Historical results do not guarantee future performance. The research accounted for stated taker fees and funding. Live results may still differ because of latency, liquidity, capacity, market conditions, trader behaviour decay and operational constraints.

Four products

One strategy engine. Four products.

Strategy produces the qualified portfolio signal. Portfolio lets users connect an account and subscribe to the strategy. Terminal supports direct trading and account monitoring. Vaults provide capped, non-custodial allocation without requiring users to manage execution directly.

Flagship

Mosaic Strategy

A periodically rebalanced portfolio strategy built from explainable cohort intelligence, liquidity-aware sizing and automatic de-risking.

Illustrative interface · Paper mode
Mosaic StrategyPaper mode Risk normal
Active positions23Sample
Exposure64.2%Sample
Drawdown4.4%Sample
ModePaperSample
Recent target changes
ETH+1.8%Liquidity and concentration checks passed
SOL−0.7%Reduced because of portfolio overlap

Why Hyperliquid first

Starting where trader behaviour is observable.

Hyperliquid exposes public fills, position changes and leverage changes alongside active perpetual markets, real-time APIs and native vault infrastructure.

Signal sourceHyperliquidPublic fills, positions, leverage changes and live market data.
Mosaic intelligenceQualification, aggregation and monitoringLive signals, portfolio controls, account limits and behaviour-decay tracking.
Execution paths
Connected accountsStrategy execution through supported exchange connections.
Vault allocationCapped strategy allocation after capacity and operations are ready.

Controlled rollout

Build the execution layer, then expand access.

There is no launch countdown; each phase advances only after its execution, reporting and risk checks are ready.

  1. 01
    Strategy research

    Selection, portfolio construction, costs and risk rules validated on historical data.

    Complete
  2. 02
    Signal generation and execution infrastructure

    Live signal services, market data ingestion, and paper execution support are operational.

    Complete
  3. 03
    Paper trading

    Strategy signals generate paper positions across Hyperliquid and Lighter under live market conditions.

    Active
  4. 04
    Small live testing

    Validate execution quality, costs, failure recovery and emergency de-risking with limited capital.

    Next
  5. 05
    Mosaic Portfolio

    Open a non-custodial connected-account strategy subscription with allocation, leverage and drawdown controls.

    Planned
  6. 06
    Mosaic Terminal

    Launch direct Hyperliquid and Lighter trading, monitoring, and account-risk workflows.

    Planned
  7. 07
    Mosaic Vaults

    Offer capped strategy exposure through a non-custodial workflow after live validation, capacity, and operations are ready.

    Conditional

Questions

Before you get started.

Is Mosaic live?

Mosaic's data, signals and paper execution are running on Hyperliquid and Lighter today. Wallet execution is not yet open.

What is Mosaic Portfolio?

Mosaic Portfolio is a non-custodial product that lets users connect a wallet or exchange account to Mosaic Strategy through Hyperliquid, Lighter, or another supported venue. Users set allocation, leverage, drawdown and sizing limits, and can pause or disconnect at any time. You subscribe to the strategy, not an individual trader.

How is Mosaic different from traditional copy trading?

Traditional copy trading mirrors an individual trader's positions. Mosaic filters and aggregates a qualified cohort into a portfolio strategy, then applies shared risk controls before execution.

Can I trade manually through Mosaic?

Yes. Terminal is a full trading and monitoring workspace, starting with Hyperliquid and Lighter. It is not currently open.

Can Mosaic withdraw funds?

No. Mosaic is non-custodial and never has withdrawal or transfer access to connected user wallets or exchange accounts. Never provide Mosaic with a wallet seed phrase or private key.

Are the research returns guaranteed?

No. They are historical research results. Live outcomes can differ because of market conditions, liquidity, latency, capacity, trader behaviour decay and operational risk.

When will vaults open?

Vaults will open only after live execution, reporting, and security controls are validated. We will cap early access.

Product access

Follow Mosaic from paper trading to live access.

Get research updates and testing progress, with invitations as Strategy, Portfolio, Terminal and Vaults become ready.

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